The battery boom is changing what the grid can do.
Last year's 108-gigawatt milestone may be surpassed in 2026, making clean electricity easier to store for the hours it is needed.
90%Good outcome probability
THEGOOD.
The choices that make a better tomorrow possible.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
America may add substantially more solar capacity than in 2025.
Federal generator inventories point to a large expansion, although planned projects can still miss commissioning dates.
88%Good outcome probability
Solar could become the world's second-largest renewable electricity source.
The IEA expects solar generation to surpass wind this year, behind hydropower.
91%Good outcome probability
The world could keep more than two-fifths of its electricity low-carbon.
Renewable and nuclear generation reached about 43% in 2025; the test is whether that share survives another year.
96%Good outcome probability
A hard-won vaccination threshold could hold despite global disruption.
WHO and UNICEF estimate that 90% of infants received a first DTP dose in 2025, a fragile but meaningful public-health achievement.
89%Good outcome probability
HPV vaccination is preventing future cancer deaths.
A prevention tool is changing what cervical cancer could mean for a generation.
91%Good outcome probability
Low-carbon electricity grew faster than demand.
For one consequential year, new clean power more than covered the global increase in electricity consumption.
95%Good outcome probability
Electric cars are already displacing oil demand.
The transition is not just visible in salesrooms; it is beginning to matter at fuel markets.
93%Good outcome probability
The high seas finally have a legal framework.
An international agreement begins to govern biodiversity beyond national borders.
98%Good outcome probability
The ozone layer carries a lesson that climate diplomacy needs.
Persistent rules changed industrial behavior and helped a damaged planetary shield begin recovering.
96%Good outcome probability
THEBAD.
The choices that put our collective future at risk.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
Rainforest loss is not undone when a seedling takes root.
The destruction of old tropical forest removes ecosystems that cannot be recreated on political timelines.
88%Bad outcome probability
A treaty delayed is plastic still escaping the rules.
Governments have agreed that pollution is transnational; they have not yet agreed on a binding answer.
93%Bad outcome probability
The nuclear age is learning the wrong lesson from its own survival.
The world’s nuclear powers are modernizing arsenals as arms-control safeguards weaken. This is an observable danger—not a prediction that nuclear war is inevitable.
94%Bad outcome probability
The planet is running a fever, and we are still adding heat.
The last eleven years are the warmest on record. The climate problem is no longer a warning about an imagined future.
96%Bad outcome probability
A forest can fall in a day. Its replacement may take centuries.
Rainforest loss declined in 2025, yet millions of hectares of irreplaceable habitat still disappeared. Improvement and emergency can exist together.
89%Bad outcome probability
We can manufacture plastic faster than we can agree to govern it.
Global negotiations on a plastics treaty broke down in 2025. Every delay preserves a system in which pollution moves across borders more freely than rules do.
90%Bad outcome probability
Children did not create these crises. We are cutting their lifelines.
Humanitarian emergencies are multiplying as aid budgets contract. Funding is an abstract number until its absence becomes a missing meal, classroom or vaccine.
95%Bad outcome probability