The battery boom is changing what the grid can do.
Last year's 108-gigawatt milestone may be surpassed in 2026, making clean electricity easier to store for the hours it is needed.
90%Good outcome probability
THEGOOD.
The choices that make a better tomorrow possible.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
America may add substantially more solar capacity than in 2025.
Federal generator inventories point to a large expansion, although planned projects can still miss commissioning dates.
88%Good outcome probability
Solar could become the world's second-largest renewable electricity source.
The IEA expects solar generation to surpass wind this year, behind hydropower.
91%Good outcome probability
The world could keep more than two-fifths of its electricity low-carbon.
Renewable and nuclear generation reached about 43% in 2025; the test is whether that share survives another year.
96%Good outcome probability
A hard-won vaccination threshold could hold despite global disruption.
WHO and UNICEF estimate that 90% of infants received a first DTP dose in 2025, a fragile but meaningful public-health achievement.
89%Good outcome probability
HPV vaccination is preventing future cancer deaths.
A prevention tool is changing what cervical cancer could mean for a generation.
91%Good outcome probability
Low-carbon electricity grew faster than demand.
For one consequential year, new clean power more than covered the global increase in electricity consumption.
95%Good outcome probability
Electric cars are already displacing oil demand.
The transition is not just visible in salesrooms; it is beginning to matter at fuel markets.
93%Good outcome probability
The high seas finally have a legal framework.
An international agreement begins to govern biodiversity beyond national borders.
98%Good outcome probability
The ozone layer carries a lesson that climate diplomacy needs.
Persistent rules changed industrial behavior and helped a damaged planetary shield begin recovering.
96%Good outcome probability
THEBAD.
The choices that put our collective future at risk.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
America's debt burden may remain larger than its economy.
The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects public debt above annual GDP, with consequences for future budget choices.
96%Bad outcome probability
Measles infections could keep climbing in the United States.
The CDC counted 4,080 confirmed cases by October 8, setting a troubling course toward year-end.
94%Bad outcome probability
Atmospheric carbon dioxide may set another annual record.
NOAA's monitoring shows 2026 concentrations above the comparable months of 2025.
99%Bad outcome probability
Congo's Ebola epidemic may pass another devastating threshold.
The 9,000-case threshold has already been reported; the question now is whether confirmed cases will surpass 10,000 by mid-November.
93%Bad outcome probability
The Amazon's October fire count may reach another grim level.
An unusually intense first half of October has already brought smoke, school closures and emergency declarations.
95%Bad outcome probability
Plastic rules are fragmented; the ocean is not.
A failed treaty round leaves countries working against a pollutant without a universal rulebook.
92%Bad outcome probability
Coal’s retreat will be slower if demand keeps climbing.
Clean power can expand quickly while the atmosphere still receives immense fossil-fuel emissions.
97%Bad outcome probability
A funding shortfall can become a child’s missing meal.
Humanitarian assistance runs on budgets, but its consequences are borne by people.
96%Bad outcome probability
The warmest years are becoming an ordinary sequence.
What was once an extreme global temperature record is now part of an alarming cluster.
94%Bad outcome probability
Nine nuclear arsenals, nine decisions to modernize.
Arms control weakens when strategic rivals treat increasingly capable weapons as a permanent answer.
95%Bad outcome probability