Electric mobility has crossed a market threshold.
One in four new cars sold globally in 2025 was electric, according to the IEA.
90%Good outcome probability
THEGOOD.
The choices that make a better tomorrow possible.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
Solar electricity is redrawing the global power map.
The IEA expects solar to power much of the world’s new electricity production, changing the economics of energy.
95%Good outcome probability
A malaria vaccine is becoming ordinary childhood care.
A public-health breakthrough becomes more consequential when clinics can deliver it routinely.
94%Good outcome probability
The world is close to a turning point coal once made unthinkable.
Renewable electricity is poised to overtake coal. The energy transition has stopped being a distant promise and become a measurable change in how the planet works.
92%Good outcome probability
We damaged the sky. Then we decided to repair it.
The shrinking Antarctic ozone hole is evidence that nations can respond to planetary danger together—and that decades of persistence can matter.
96%Good outcome probability
A generation of children is beginning to inherit a different future.
Malaria vaccines are entering routine childhood immunization across Africa. The achievement is real; the task of reaching every child is unfinished.
91%Good outcome probability
Humanity has finally drawn a line across the open ocean.
A landmark high-seas biodiversity treaty entered into force in 2026. Its authority exists on paper; its value will be determined in the water.
90%Good outcome probability
The future of the automobile is no longer hypothetical.
One in four new cars sold globally was electric in 2025. The shift is large enough to affect oil demand, industry strategy and national policy.
90%Good outcome probability
THEBAD.
The choices that put our collective future at risk.
Evidence-led stories · confidence threshold 85%
Rainforest loss is not undone when a seedling takes root.
The destruction of old tropical forest removes ecosystems that cannot be recreated on political timelines.
88%Bad outcome probability
A treaty delayed is plastic still escaping the rules.
Governments have agreed that pollution is transnational; they have not yet agreed on a binding answer.
93%Bad outcome probability
The nuclear age is learning the wrong lesson from its own survival.
The world’s nuclear powers are modernizing arsenals as arms-control safeguards weaken. This is an observable danger—not a prediction that nuclear war is inevitable.
94%Bad outcome probability
The planet is running a fever, and we are still adding heat.
The last eleven years are the warmest on record. The climate problem is no longer a warning about an imagined future.
96%Bad outcome probability
A forest can fall in a day. Its replacement may take centuries.
Rainforest loss declined in 2025, yet millions of hectares of irreplaceable habitat still disappeared. Improvement and emergency can exist together.
89%Bad outcome probability
We can manufacture plastic faster than we can agree to govern it.
Global negotiations on a plastics treaty broke down in 2025. Every delay preserves a system in which pollution moves across borders more freely than rules do.
90%Bad outcome probability
Children did not create these crises. We are cutting their lifelines.
Humanitarian emergencies are multiplying as aid budgets contract. Funding is an abstract number until its absence becomes a missing meal, classroom or vaccine.
95%Bad outcome probability